Saturday, October 25, 2008

Response to 1906 San Francisco Quake More Effective than Response to Katraina

Today the History Channel did a segment about the aftermath of the 1906 San Francisco earthquake. In addition to the damage to the buildings brought about by the quake and aftershocks, there were fires burning for 3 days that decimated over 50 blocks of the city. Many people lost their homes, and set up impromptu tents like the ones in the pic.
(If you want to read about the details of the aftermath, please see the links below.)
The death total has been estimated between 300 and 500 officially, but since the individual names of the people who passed away in the quake or the fires have not been recorded by the city officials, leaving many unanswered questions. A lot of the historians that talk about the quake seem to think that many more people than 400 died, likely at least 1000. No one appears to know for sure.

The donations for assistance and rebuilding efforts totaled $10 million in 1906 US dollars. My historical currency calculator says that $10 in 1906 dollars is today $244 in 2008 dollars, although I am not sure if that takes purchasing power into consideration, or inflation only. So, $244,000,000, or a quarter billion, dollars was certainly generous to the people in San Francisco.
Since food was not coming into the city and many residents didn't have the means to feed themselves as they did prior to the disaster, the Federal gov't set up a food station where people who needed meals could come enjoy for free. The line stretched for blocks. The private sector was also very useful. Women from as far away as Utah put freshly baked loaves of bread onto trains going to San Francisco. One reason there are so many pics of the damage is because Kodak was selling a popular camera in 1905 that a lot of people possessed, and used to record the many scenes.

The tent cities were useful in helping people who had lost their homes yet wanted to stay in town. Building codes were adjusted to more closely resemble their modern state during the rebuilding process to acknowledge the possibility of future quakes. The city is on the San Andreas fault, and the possibility of the Golden Gate Bridge being toppled by quake higher than 8 on the Richter scale exists today. One of the things that caught my attention was that after the quake, the Southern Pacific Railroad company transported 300K people into and out of the city for 9 post quake days FOR FREE. The citizens of San Francisco helped each other as best they could, the Federal gov't stepped up, the private sector provided greatly needed aid, and Southern Pacific selflessly transported people and cargo in a time of crisis without mandating payment.

Why was such a response, relatively orderly, done at at time where telephones aren't a given the way they are now, not possible after Hurricane Katrina? Why was there not Federal government camps set up with food & meds for the people in need? The FEMA people/ Feds had to know that the trucks that normally brought food into the city wouldn't be doing so with the town underwater, and those who stayed behind with a home under water might need food to eat?

The private sector did assist after Katrina, and my remarks are not aimed at the thousands of people that traveled to New Orleans on their own dime to help those in need. I am very proud of those Americans, as I am of the additional thousands unable to travel who selflessly donated money and supplies. My digs, as usual, are directed right at the Bush admin for the failure of the post Katrina assistance that was so badly needed in New Orleans. Reviewing the national response to the San Francisco quake & aftermath in 1906 reminds me of how disasters SHOULD be responded to. Given the gap in technology between 1906 and 2006, I am very impressed with the efforts after the quake and disappointed by those following Katrina. In my opinion, part of the job of the Federal gov't is to attend to those effected by natural disasters, part of why we all pay taxes, in an efficient and effective way. Again, I do not understand why the Bush administration failed so miserably in responding to Katrina, and why nothing has been done to prevent such a poor federal reaction from happening again. Thoughts? Responses?
http://www.history.com/this-day-in-history.do?action=Article&id=4493
http://www.sfgate.com/greatquake/
http://strangemaps.wordpress.com/2007/08/05/161-map-of-the-san-francisco-quake-and-fire-1906/
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/1906_San_Francisco_earthquake

Wednesday, October 22, 2008

What Is Wrong With This Country

http://www.nytimes.com/2008/10/22/nyregion/22cops.html

Its is horrible that Raul Nunez felt so scared that he would be deported that he acted out in this way. The 2006 laws that make small infractions deportable have to be reversed. Its creating incidents like this. Also, the article doesn't explain why the police assumed Mr. Nunez couldn't be a student with the student metrocard. So what if a student that he knows lent it to him? Its still not "turnstile jumping," as he did pay, just an unauthorized reduced rate.

Sunday, October 19, 2008

First cold evening

Temps are supposed to be in the 40s tonight east of the Mississippi and north of the Mason-Dickson line, and so tonight will be the first night many will turn on their heat. One thing that the CNBC talking heads spout repeatedly is that the reduction in the price of crude from $147 this summer to $70 this past week is some kind of "stimulus" to the American consumer. I don't know too many people who re did their family budgets this summer expecting to pay $147 for crude and the equivalents for refined products. With crude at $147, wholesale heating oil was $4.20 a gallon, roughly the same price as retail gasoline in the state of NJ. Last week, heating oil sold for about $2.40 on the commodity exchanges, so retail heating oil is likely to be around $3/gallon, and over the weekend I saw gasoline at $2.95 for regular in NJ.
To me, that is expensive still. From what I have read, filling up a tank of 250 gallons of heating oil costs about $750 and lasts 2 to 3 months, depending on use & temps, in a single family home. Given that wages haven't increased in the past 8 years for many middle income people, that $750 is likely to strain many budgets. The price of nat gas, for consumers, is likely to be $12-$14/mcf this winter, with the cost of heating a home with nat gas for the winter averaging $1000-$1200 for a single family home, again, depending on temps and usage. Better than paying for oil, but not cheap.
The price of energy is the single long term issue that America has to deal with. Obama said exactly that at the third debate. While the price of oil is down, downside demand destruction won't last forever. People can only drive less so much, and come heating time, unless the winter is unusually mild (which is not predicted) homes will likely be kept warm. I expect prices for energy to stabilize soon. The emerging markets are cooling, however, they do not know cheap oil the way America does, and so at a certain price oil is cheap enough again to encourage demand. If the American consumer thinks that $147 for crude is a fluke, he or she is sadly mistaken. I hope that people remain vocal about the large parts of their budgets energy consumes, and remain vigilant that we as a nation need to take steps to secure an energy future. Any kind will do. This is as important to the election as any other issue, and I hope its something that people take with them when they mark their ballots in November.

Colin Powell to vote for Obama!

Colin Powell's interview on "Meet The Press" on NBC with Tom Brokaw in which he illustrates his support for Obama. His reasons, as he explains them:
1. He knows both candidates well, both are qualified
2. Both are dedicated Americans
3. Over the past few years, the Republican party has moved too far to the right for him
4. McCain is unsure on economics, and when dealing with the nation's economic crisis, seems to have a new strategy each day.
5. Choice of Palin, who is not ready to be President, says a lot about McCain's judgement
6. Obama is an intellectual and his judgment is steady
7. The McCain campaign is divisive, focusing on Bill Ayers, not something that effects Americans, the focus is very small and limited, goes too far with Bill Ayers focus
8. Obama is concerned with all American values: big city, small city, small town; not just small towns have values, crossing lines: ethnic, generational, etc.
9. Gov Palin has indicated a further right wing shift of the Republican party. The Republican party says "Obama is a Muslim. No, he is a Christian. But what if Obama is a Muslim? That's not America. There is nothing wrong with being a Muslim. "

10. Got to stop polarizing ourselves, and McCain's campaign is too polarizing
11. Obama reaches all across America, has style and substance, transformational figure, inclusive to all people.
http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/3032608

Face the Nation on CBS

Republicans are treading in deep water and drowning!
http://www.cbsnews.com/stories/2008/10/19/ftn/main4531219.shtml